Conf = Womens NCAA D2 Region = South State = TN Nickname = Flames Coach = Derrel Marti
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.0628510
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
204 A Tusculum Womens NCAA D ( 7- 9, 81.2) 16- 6
212 A Lenoir-Rhyne Womens NCAA D ( 7-11, 84.1) 15- 6
219 A UVA Wise South Atlanti (11- 7, 83.8) 12-11
222 H Mars Hill Womens NCAA D ( 4-11, 78.2) 20- 3
225 H Indianapolis Womens NCAA D (18- 3, 93.9) 3-13
304 H Florida Southern Sunshine (18- 4, 96.2) 9-15
308 A Lynn Womens NCAA D (12- 6, 90.9) 11-15
310 A Embry-Riddle Sunshine (13- 5, 91.3) 10-13
317 H Missouri Western Great Lakes ( 8- 8, 87.7) 8-11
323 H Palm Beach Atlantic Womens NCAA D ( 3-12, 80.4) 13- 6
326 A Flagler Gulf South (17- 2, 93.0) 12-21
331 A Limestone Womens NCAA D (13- 4, 87.0) 11-13
402 A Lander Gulf South (11- 7, 87.7) 10-15
412 A Young Harris Womens NCAA D ( 6-11, 81.9) 22-15
415 H Montevallo Womens NCAA D ( 7- 9, 83.5) 13- 8
419 H Shorter Womens NCAA D ( 2-14, 72.5) 23- 0
422 H Alabama Huntsville Womens NCAA D ( 9- 9, 87.7) 8-11
428 A Flagler Gulf South (17- 2, 93.0) 14-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
204 A Tusculum 16- 6 10 5 1.74
212 A Lenoir-Rhyne 15- 6 9 2 ++ 4.72
219 A UVA Wise 12-11 1 2 -1.62
222 H Mars Hill 20- 3 17 9 0.00
225 H Indianapolis 3-13 -10 -6 -0.90
304 H Florida Southern 9-15 -6 -8 1.00
308 A Lynn 11-15 -4 -4 0.43
310 A Embry-Riddle 10-13 -3 -4 1.90
317 H Missouri Western 8-11 -3 0 - -3.10
323 H Palm Beach Atlantic 13- 6 7 7 0.00
326 A Flagler 12-21 -9 -6 -0.42
331 A Limestone 11-13 -2 0 -1.41
402 A Lander 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.71
412 A Young Harris 22-15 7 4 + 2.43
415 H Montevallo 13- 8 5 4 0.65
419 H Shorter 23- 0 23 15 0.00
422 H Alabama Huntsville 8-11 -3 0 - -3.14
428 A Flagler 14-20 -6 -6 0.58
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Missouri Western 8-11 -3 0 - -3.10
402 A Lander 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.71
422 H Alabama Huntsville 8-11 -3 0 - -3.14
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 A Lenoir-Rhyne 15- 6 9 2 ++ 4.72
412 A Young Harris 22-15 7 4 + 2.43
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 87.12 Power Rank................. 37
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 69.87 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 36
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6547 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 25
RPI Rating............... .5207 RPI Rank................... 42
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 50
Selection sum ........... 129 Selection Rank ............ 35
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -150. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 68
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -125. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 62
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.2
Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5).....
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....
Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7